Forecasts

Append-only: never edited, only resolved or superseded. Calibration accumulates.

Open

Forecast	Subject	Event	Deadline	P	Forecaster
`forecast.2026-08-01.synthetic-arxiv`	work.synthetic-players-persona-panel	arxiv-identifier-recorded	2026-08-15	0.90	human:yohei

Resolved

None yet.

Research Atlas — generated by atlas build from the canonical catalog + ledger (reference date 2026-09-01). This site is the public projection (policy 2.1.0) of a private canonical repository; changes arrive through owner-reviewed pull requests.