Passing Coarse Marginal Checks Can Be Cheap
work.synthetic-players-persona-panel · paper · Synthetic Players · Citable preprint
Studies a fixed sixteen-persona GPT-4.1 panel: coarse marginal validation, prompt-indexed composition, imprecise treatment response, and representation interventions. Explicitly does not establish human substitutability; the matched human-agent study is a separate future candidate.
Project site Paper PDF Canonical manuscript Scientific review record Zero-call replay capsule GitHub
arXiv: 2608.00979
DOI: 10.48550/arXiv.2608.00979
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Stage: Citable preprint · as of 2026-08-05
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forecast.2026-08-01.synthetic-arxiv: P=0.90 that arxiv-identifier-recorded by 2026-08-15
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evt-20260801-001-synthetic-arxiv-forecast[2026-08-01] forecast.recorded — owner-statement(yohei, 2026-08-02)evt-20260802-004-synthetic-status[2026-08-02] status.observed — owner-statement(yohei, 2026-08-02)evt-20260803-001-synthetic-grounding[2026-08-03] status.observed — repo(yoheinakajima/synthetic-players@82556ef:README.md); repo(yoheinakajima/synthetic-players@82556ef:CITATION.cff)evt-20260805-010-synthetic-players-persona-panel-status[2026-08-05] status.observed — repo(yoheinakajima/synthetic-players@62ab90b:.research/atlas-export.yml)evt-20260805-011-synthetic-players-persona-panel-ids[2026-08-05] identifier.observed — repo(yoheinakajima/synthetic-players@62ab90b:.research/atlas-export.yml)